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    You are here Home » Marlins vs. Brewers Prediction and Odds | September 13, 2023: Can Much Improved Megill Continue Milwaukee’s Hot Stretch of Pitching
    Betting

    Marlins vs. Brewers Prediction and Odds | September 13, 2023: Can Much Improved Megill Continue Milwaukee’s Hot Stretch of Pitching

    Alec MusaBy Alec MusaSeptember 12, 2023No Comments5 Mins Read
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    USATSI 20926332
    Jun 21, 2023; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Brewers manager Craig Counsell (30) takes out Milwaukee Brewers relief pitcher Trevor Megill (29) in the ninth inning against the Arizona Diamondbacks at American Family Field. Arizona Diamondbacks 5, Milwaukee Brewers 1. Mandatory Credit: Michael McLoone-USA TODAY Sports
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    The Miami Marlins (74-71) will face the Milwaukee Brewers (81-63) on Wednesday night. After winning the series opener on Monday, Milwaukee won again 3-1 in Tuesday’s contest. Co-ace Freddy Peralta was excellent for the Brewers, tossing 6.1 innings of one-run ball. He allowed just two hits and no walks while punching out nine. The Brewers received 2.2 no-hit innings from the bullpen (Milner, Uribe, and Williams).

    Milwaukee scratched together three base knocks but made them count, including a solo blast from Josh Donaldson in the fourth. The veteran is now 3-for-6 since joining the Brew Crew to begin the week.

    Marlins vs. Brewers Betting Odds

    Team Run Line O/U ML
    Miami -1.5
    +150
    O8.5
    +100
    -110
    Milwaukee +1.5
    +179
    U8.5
    -120
    -110

    Odds Courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook**

    Marlins vs. Brewers Match Details

    • Fixture: Miami @ Milwaukee
    • Date and Time: Wednesday, September 13, 7:40 p.m. EST
    • Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

    Pitching Probables

    Braxton Garrett vs.  Trevor Megill
    8-6 W-L 1-0
    143.2 IP 29.1
    3.82 ERA 3.38
    3.69 FIP 1.93
    1.16 WHIP 1.28
    8.8 K/9 14.1

    Braxton Garrett will toe the slab for the Marlins. The lefty has faced the Brewers once in his career, allowing two runs on seven hits and no walks in four innings. He stuck out two. The outing came last season. The former first-round pick has similar splits at home and on the road. However, he possesses a 4.66 ERA against teams equal to or above .500 compared to a 3.33 ERA against teams under .500.

    The Brewers enter Wednesday well over .500. Milwaukee has a solid track record against Garrett. Mark Canha is 4-for-8 against the six-foot-two hurler, William Contreras is 2-for-6, and Christian Yelich is a perfect 2-for-2. Willy Adames, Victor Carantini, and Carlos Santana are a combined 3-for-7 with a double against Garrett.

    Garrett holds a 2.70 ERA over his previous five outings. Opposing batters are hitting just .222 off him during that span. However, a .232 BAbip has played favorably towards Garrett over those outings.

    Trevor Megill will pitch opposite Garrett. The 29-year-old owns a 5.40 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 1.2 innings against Miami. He has allowed one run on two hits and no walks. He has struck out four of the five Marlins he has retired. Both appearances against the Marlins came during his rookie season in 2021. Megill owns a 6.35 ERA at American Family Field in Milwaukee compared to a 4.21 ERA on the road.

    The Marlins have little exposure against Megill. Jazz Chisholm and Bryan De La Cruz are each 1-for-1 with a single off the six-foot-eight hurler, while Luis Arraez and Jacob Stallings are hitless in one at-bat. Megill has yet to exceed two innings in any outing this season, and Colin Rea is most likely to be used in a bulk relief role. The 33-year-old owns a 5.02 ERA in 109.1 innings while holding a 20.25 ERA in one start against Miami.

    Brewers Trevor Megill
    Aug 27, 2023; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Brewers relief pitcher Trevor Megill (29) yells out in celebration after closing out a 10-6 win over the San Diego Padres at American Family Field. Mandatory Credit: Michael McLoone-USA TODAY Sports

    Megill has excelled over his previous five outings, posting a 1.42 ERA in 6.1 innings. The Brewers are 4-1, while the righty has struck out 14 during that span. Opposing hitters have just a .669 OPS off Megill since an August 27 outing against the Padres.

    Batter Trends

    The Brewers’ Willy Adames entered Tuesday eight for his last 27 before drawing two walks in last night’s victory. The infielder has easily been one of Milwaukee’s hottest hitters over the past week. Additionally, Tyrone Taylor smacked another hit on Tuesday, making the outfielder seven for his last 17. Andruw Monasterio also collected another hit, his fourth over the past three games.

    It’s also worth noting that slugger Josh Donaldson is 3-for-6 with a home run since joining the Brewers two days ago.

    Milwaukee Brewers, Brewers News, Brewers Rumors, Josh Donaldson
    Oct 22, 2022; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees third baseman Josh Donaldson (28) strikes out to t end the game against the Houston Astros during game three of the ALCS for the 2022 MLB Playoffs at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

    Carlos Santana is the only cold bat among the Brewers regulars. The first baseman is just 6-for-32 over the last eight days.

    Miami has mustered just eight hits in the first two games against the Brew Crew. However, Jacob Stallings, Joey Wendle, and Jazz Chisholm have posted an OPS over .800 during the past eight days. The cold bats belong to Xavier Edwards, Luis Arraez, and Bryan De La Cruz. None have hit over .200 over the past seven days.

    Marlins vs. Brewers Betting Prediction

    I love the over in this matchup. Milwaukee has silenced the Miami lineup during the series’ first two games. Still, they won’t have the luxury of running out Freddy Peralta or Brandon Woodruff in Wednesday’s contest. Instead, it should be a mix of Trevor Megill and Colin Rea. Megill has pitched well lately but will be limited in innings, while Rea has struggled with the Brewers this season.

    Meanwhile, The Marlins will send Braxton Garrett to the bump. The lefty has had a solid season but has disastrous numbers against the Brewers’ lineup. So let’s roll with the over in the National League tilt.

    Prediction: Over 8.5 (+100)

    Follow me on Twitter @musa_alec.  Follow us @WiSportsHeroics for more great sports content. To read more of our articles and keep up to date on the latest in Wisconsin sports, click here!   We cover the Milwaukee Brewers, Green Bay Packers, Milwaukee Bucks, Wisconsin Badgers, and Wisconsin High School Sports.  Additionally, we provide the latest news coverage on the NFL, MLB, and NBA

     

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    Brewers Colin Rea Trevor Megill willy adames
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    Alec Musa

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