After a disappointing 8-4 loss to the Rockies last night, the Brewers reached a new low. The road trip ends at 2-5, and while on paper the Brewers may still have a chance, the playoffs are falling out of sight. In order to reach the promised land Milwaukee will have to pull off an impressive run and hope for some luck, as well.
It isn’t just the Brewers
As much as fans wish the Brewers could go on a run and solidify a spot in the playoffs, it’ll take more than that. The Brewers are currently, 8.5 games behind in the division, so it is unlikely they will win that unless St. Louis collapses. The Phillies and Padres are tied in the Wild Card right now at a .551% winning percentage, and they both sit ahead of the Brewers.
The issue is that the Brewers are 3.5 games behind both teams right now. Milwaukee fans need a Padres/Phillies skid like no other, because the math is certainly not in their favor. Most teams have played 138 games, about, this year, which means there are about 24 games left for every team. If both the Padres and Phillies go 12-12 to end the season, the Brewers would need to go 18-6 to catch them. The only foreseeable way the Brewers make the Wild Card without a hot streak is if the teams ahead of them get cold.
Unfortunately, the Brewers may need the Phillies and Padres to cool off to make the Wild Card, regardless. Even if the Brewers win 18 of their remaining games, or even 16, they need both teams to play .500 baseball, at best. Both teams can’t continue to play well, at least, if Milwaukee hopes to gain ground.
Are the Phillies and Padres Legit?
Over their last ten, the Phillies are 4-6. The Padres are 6-4 over the same period. Each time has had their moments this year. However, each team has also had some pretty disappointing moments.
The Phillies have been up and down. Although, they were just swept by the Giants and lost against the Marlins because of an error. The morale of the team doesn’t seem great lately. However, this team has been more motivated under Rob Thomson. Manager “Philly Rob” as fans call him, has had the team on his side since his promotion. The team is scuffling right now but it is tough to see a world where the Phillies drop out of the Wild Card.
The Padres have had quite the season. The front office went out and grabbed Juan Soto and Josh Bell at the deadline, as well as Josh Hader from the Brewers. Although, it has not worked out how most would believe. Hader began his tenure with an ERA above seven for a while. The Padres were dropping games left and right, and of course, Tatis was suspended. There is no doubt losing a young star to something like PEDs is not a good look. Nor does it have a positive effect on the team’s morale or outlook.
Both teams are threats for a playoff spot. At this point in the season, nobody is going to be an easy win. If the Brewers want to make it, they need to prove it. It’ll start with this upcoming series against the Reds.
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