The Miami Marlins (74-69) will visit the Milwaukee Brewers (79-63) to begin a four-game series on Monday night. Miami is 8-2 in their previous ten games and most recently took two of three from the Philadelphia Phillies. They remain in the thick of a wild playoff race in the National League. Meanwhile, Milwaukee is 5-5 in their last ten contests but is fresh off a tough 4-3 loss to the Yankees.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff, led by starter Corbin Burnes, twirled ten no-hit innings on Sunday, but the offense let them down, remaining shutout until the eleventh. Unfortunately, the Yankees received their first hit in the bottom of the inning, a game-tying double off the bat of Oswaldo Cabrera. New York would ultimately walk off the Brew Crew, but Corbin Burnes was excellent, allowing no hits and just two walks in seven innings. He struck out seven.
Marlins vs. Brewers Betting Odds
Team | Run Line | O/U | ML |
Miami | +1.5 -170 |
O7 -115 |
+120 |
Milwaukee | -1.5 +142 |
U7 -105 |
-142 |
Odds Courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook**
Marlins vs. Brewers Match Details
- Fixture: Miami @ Milwaukee
- Date and Time: Monday, September 11, 7:40 p.m. EST
- Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Pitching Probables
Jesus Luzardo | vs. | Brandon Woodruff |
9-8 | W-L | 4-1 |
155.1 | IP | 47.0 |
3.59 | ERA | 2.30 |
3.65 | FIP | 3.81 |
1,20 | WHIP | 0.79 |
10.5 | K/9 | 10.5 |
Jesus Luzardo will take the ball for the Miami Marlins on Monday night. The lefty has never faced the Milwaukee Brewers before tonight’s tilt. However, in 2023, the former Oakland Athletic top prospect is 3-5 with a 4.27 ERA and 1.27 WHIP against teams equal to or above .500 compared to 6-3 with a 2.91 ERA against teams under .500. The 25-year-old owns a 4.65 ERA in 172.1 career road innings but a 3.93 ERA at home. The Brewers’ bats have little exposure against Luzardo, but those that have faced him have yet to succeed. Mark Canha, William Contreras, and Carlos Santana are a combined 2-for-16 with one walk and no extra-base hits against Luzardo.
Luzardo has been hit-or-miss over his last five starts. He has tossed two scoreless outings while surrendering 14 earned runs combined in the other three starts. He owns a 5.04 ERA during that span. Opposing hitters have posted a .748 OPS off Luzardo during those starts.
Brandon Woodruff will pitch opposite Luzardo. The two-time All-Star is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in two starts against the Miami Marlins. The righty last faced them in 2022, allowing three runs, one earned on five hits and two walks in five innings. Woodruff is 25-9 with a 2.91 ERA in 334.1 innings at Miller Park in Milwaukee. Former Pittsburgh Pirate Josh Bell has seen Woodruff the most but is just 3-for-25 with eight strikeouts against the six-foot-four hurler. Luis Arraez, Avisail Garcia, and Yuli Garcia are all 1-for-3 against Woodruff.
Woodruff has shined over his previous five starts. The ace is 3-0 with a 2.64 ERA during that span. Opposing lineups are hitting just .116 off Woodruff during that span.
Batter Trends
Mark Canha remains the hottest bat in the Milwaukee lineup. The trade deadline acquisition is 9-for-25, with three walks over the last seven days. Teammates Sal Frelick and Willy Adames are heating up at the right time. Frelick had his five-game hitting streak snapped on Sunday but has scored five times in his last six games. Meanwhile, Adames has collected five hits, including two home runs, since the series finale against Pittsburgh last week.
Rowdy Tellez has been ice-cold over the previous seven days. The first baseman is just one for his last ten with four punchouts. Meanwhile, Christian Yelich and Carlos Santana are a combined 8-for-46 over the previous seven days.
Miami enters Monday with six players posting a .800 OPS over the past seven days (Jesus Sanchez, Jacob Stallings, Josh Bell, Jazz Chisholm, Garrett Hampson, and Joey Wendle). The six hitters have combined for eight home runs and 18 RBI over that span.
Everyday outfielder Bryan De La Cruz and star second baseman Luiz Arraez must catch up, going just 10-for-48 in the previous seven days.
Marlins vs. Brewers Betting Prediction
I like the under in this matchup. The Marlins’ Jesus Luzardo has spearheaded a solid Marlins starting rotation this year as they try to catch the Arizona Diamondbacks for the final spot in the third Wild Card spot in the National League. Meanwhile, Brandon Woodruff has been excellent since returning this season. Another solid outing, a common occurrence at Miller Park for him, would further strengthen the Brewers’ top three in the starting rotation.
Prediction: Under 7 (-105)
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Frequently Asked Questions
What does 1.5 mean in the Brewers game?
In the Brewers game, a spread of 1.5 refers to the margin of victory bet known as the run line. Typically, the favorite will have a -1.5 spread, while the underdog will have a +1.5 spread. Remember, these spreads are adjusted based on each team's strength and are commonly used in low-scoring baseball games.
What does Marlins +1.5 mean?
Marlins +1.5 on MLB run line implies that the Marlins, as the underdog, need to win or lose by one run or less for the bet to succeed. This run line, commonly known as "against the spread," typically has a spread of 1.5 runs.