The Rams travel to Green Bay this weekend to take on the Packers. The Packers coming off of a loss at Minnesota. As -1 favorites the Packers were not able to cover in the loss. The Rams are coming off two straight losses, in games where they were both favored. While the Packers are dealing with a multitude of injuries across both sides of the football, they are still favored at -1.
The current Money Line is +100 for the Rams, and -120 for the Packers. The Over Under sits at 48 as of the time of this article writing. Let’s discuss some betting trends for both teams as we preview this matchup.
Versus The Spread
Both teams are trending in opposite directions when it come to covering the spread. The Packers are covering at a league high 81.8 percent of their games. In three losses the Packers were not able to cover in week one vs. New Orleans, and week 11 vs Minnesota. In their only loss when covering, the Packers sent out Jordan Love vs. the Chiefs.
The Rams meanwhile are covering only 40 percent of the time. Both teams come in with three losses. The Packers in 11 games, and the Rams who come off the bye in 10 games. Something has gotta give as both teams are on the opposite spectrum. With a -1 spread coming into the game, there’s an almost certainty the Packers will cover should they win.
The Over Under
The O/U for this game sits at 48 currently. Aaron Rodgers is questionable with a toe injury, although there is very little that would stop Rodgers from playing through the injury. There are not many other factors that would move the number, so I think it will stay at 48 coming into the game. Both teams have offenses that can put up points. One may expect the O/U to be higher, but with both teams having top 10 defenses, both offenses may be held in check.
Green Bay is allowing the 5th best points per game at 19.5. In eight of eleven games the Packers have held their opponent to 22 or fewer points. The Rams have hit the over in their games 55.6 percent of the time. On the other hand the Packers have hit the under 72.7 percent of the time. The Rams have scored just 26 points in the two games before their bye. What may seem like a sure over for two offenses capable of putting up points, we may just hit the under.
In the last 7 games vs. the Packers the Rams are 0-7.
The Rams are (7-3) (4-1) away.
The Packers are (8-3) (4-0) at home
Packers have held offenses to just 11 points per game at home.
The Packers won the last matchup 32-18 during the playoffs last season.
While the Packers are the favorites their top three offensive lineman are out versus one of the best defensive lines in the league. The battle of the Packers offensive line versus the Rams defensive line may have a large significance in who wins this game.
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As always Go Pack Go!