Earlier this off-season, the projection system Steamer released their 2023 player predictions. Their projections for Brewers outfielder Garrett Mitchell and infielder Brice Turang were a bit underwhelming. Dan Szymborski, developer of the ZiPS system, recently released his Brewers projections. Here we will compare how ZiPS predicts these two players will do in the upcoming season.
Brewers 2023 ZiPS Projections: Garrett Mitchell And Brice Turang
Garrett Mitchell
Steamer Projections: .242/.317/.385/.701, 99 wRC+, 1.7 fWAR.
ZiPS Projections: .250/.320/.378/.698 91 OPS+, 1.4 fWAR
When comparing these two projections, ZiPS likes Mitchell to hit for a slightly higher average and get on base more, but his slugging and OPS are lower. To go along with this, ZiPS has Mitchell striking out 123 times next season over 373 plate appearances. This equates to a 33% strikeout rate.
Brice Turang
Steamer Projections: .244/.317/.366/.683, 94 wRC+, 1.3 fWAR.
ZiPS Projections: .236/.306/.336/.642,77 OPS+, 1.6 fWAR
Across the board offensively, Turang’s ZiPS projections are lower than steamers. The OPS+ is significantly lower at 77, which means that ZiPS does not believe that Turang will put up near league average second baseman numbers. Interestingly his fWAR is higher in the ZiPS projections, which is due to his defensive ability.
Hopefully these two Brewers players can out perform their projections from both Steamer and ZiPS. Mitchell has just a month of big league playing time and Turang is yet to debut, so this makes it harder for a computer system to put together an accurate projection for the upcoming 2023 season.
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